Nfl Betting Analytics
While most MLB models make projections based on how a team's been hitting as a whole, our offensive projections are based on each and every player included in that particular team's lineup for the day. This means our model waits for each lineup to be posted (usually within a few hours before first pitch), then analyzes it on a player-by-player basis. This method is to ensure the highest accuracy in predicting a team's performance.
Our experts highlight the most important stats they use when betting on the NFL. There are a bevy of NFL statistics at our finger tips, but which are the most important to consider when betting? A panel of our top experts reveal the stats they use to inform their analysis and picks, from turnover margin to special teams and everything in-between.
The pitching/hitting evaluation component of the model uses advanced MLB metrics that go way over the casual baseball fan's head. Exit velocity, batted ball profiles, splits, plate discipline metrics, park factors, performance with or against certain pitches/velocities (combined with pitch usage rates), BABIP, FIP/xFIP, SIERA, and wRC+ are among the many metrics incorporated in the model. The challenge of MLB is analyzing advanced data to determine which players have been lucky and unlucky in relation to their actual performance. This is something that public/square bettors are very poor at figuring out, leaving a lot of value on the table in the betting market. Much like a player projection system, our model identifies a 'true' performance level for players and projects games accordingly.
Nfl Betting Analytics Expert
Nfl Betting Analytics
- Find top NFL Betting Odds, Scores, Matchups, News and Picks from VegasInsider, along with more pro football information to assist your sports handicapping.
- “Sports Analytics Simulator is fine program to add to your toolbox for those who have realistic expectations about betting NFL. We use the program to help with our daily NFL prediction articles.”.