European Politics Betting

2020 US Presidential Election Recap

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The 2020 US Presidential Election Season is in the rear-view mirror and while it took more time than necessary for the dust to settle, Joe Biden finally officially made Donald Trump the 11th one-term President. Despite the lawsuits, the conspiracy theories and investigations, Donald Trump, who has yet to concede, and many of the 75 million that voted for him may still never accept the Election results.

Read about the latest political betting odds and tips here at Betting.Betfair, and discover the latest news on political subjects from around the world: UK Politics US Politics Brexit More.

The Electoral College has spoken, the swearing-in ceremonies are complete and the work to undo the damage that Donald Trump inflicted on his own Nation is underway.

Joe Biden can thank the African American turnout, the US Urban Centers, a huge number of mail-in votes and an unprecedented overall voter turnout for his big win. Trump predictably got a big swath of the vote from rural America. It remains unclear if those trends will follow us into the next Election Betting cycle or if the Donald Trump factor was a once-in-a-lifetime phenomenon.

Bettors were engaged in unprecedented fashion in 2020. Offshore sportsbooks reported a major uptick in US Election Betting from the 2016 campaign. One major British site saw a 150% increase in overall bets from 2016 with a few brave souls wagering $1 million plus on the outcome.

2016 set the standard as far as US Election popularity and 2020 blew that standard away. Now we look to the 2022 Mid-terms and the 2024 Presidential Campaign for our US Politics Betting fix. And it seems as though the Campaigns have started already.

As we look forward to the next Presidential Election cycle in 2024 – odds have already been set on who will be the Democratic and Republican Nominees. We will be there with all key political gambling markets to consider, the sites with the best and most varied betting odds on politics, betting strategies to help you succeed, and much more as we put a lid on this current Campaign and look toward the next one.

Political Odds & Betting News

US Presidential Election Betting Odds

Betting on politics dates back hundreds of years. As King Edward VI of England lay dying in 1553, merchants in Antwerp were busy wagering on the disputed succession. Bookmakers in London were offering 4/1 (+400) on King George II dying on the battlefields of Dettingen after a foolhardy decision to wage war on the French in 1743. In the late 19^th century, a thriving betting market on presidential elections sprung up on Wall Street.
Europe has always been the spiritual home of political betting, but it is now soaring in popularity in America. Each presidential election sets a new record in sportsbook handle, and there is serious money up for grabs if you can call it correctly.
Donald Trump was initially assigned odds of 500/1 (+50000) to win the 2016 election. That dropped to 25/1 (+2500) by the time he announced his campaign in August 2015. The odds on him emerging victorious continued to dwindle in the buildup to the election, but Hillary Clinton remained the heavy favorite, only for Trump to pull off a stunning upset. Some bettors won more than $1 million by betting on him.

On the other side of the Atlantic, bettors have recently made their fortunes by correctly predicting that Scotland would not leave the UK, Britain would leave the EU and the Conservatives would beat Labour in 2015. Betting on elections in countries like Australia, New Zealand, and Sweden is also popular.

The 2020 US presidential battle became the biggest political betting event in history. Donald Trump was perhaps the most polarizing figure ever to run for political office. His bombast and intense divisiveness were a benefit in 2016 but proved to be a detriment in 2020. We saw him start out as the favorite when the official 2020 campaign season kicked off but those odds dwindled as COVID-19 worsened and Democrats rallied to defeat the embattled President.

We now look forward to the 2024 US Election and oddsmakers have already stated compiling odds for who will be the combatants for what promises to be another political slugfest. Joe Biden, the current President will be 82 years old when that campaign comes around. There are questions about his ability and even desire to bid for another 4 years in office.

There will be more opportunities for bettors to weigh in on a host of topics, from the winner of the Presidency, to the winner of the Senate to the always-fun prop bets that became an enormous part of this political betting season. Sportsbooks will undoubtedly be covering races in other countries around the world as well.

Who will seize the opportunity will in 2024? Will there be any betting opportunities similar to the ones we saw in 2020 like President Donald Trump opening Area 51 to the public before his first term in office ends?

US Presidential Election Prop Bets

US Election Prop Bets continue to be a popular way for not only political junkies but pop-culture aficionados to get a little skin in the game.

The Presidential Debates were probably the highlight of the prop betting season. In true US Political fashion, Prop Betting season has dragged on past November 3 and is continuing even today. Prior to the 2020 vote, you could bet on Voter Turnout in the U.S Presidential Election, the percentage of Americans that would turn out and vote, Majority Control of the U.S. Senate, if Donald would get kicked off Twitter and whether or not Trump would lose every state he lost in 2016 – just to name a few.

Many sportsbooks offered odds on which candidate would carry each of the 50 states. For example, the Republicans were heavy favorites in Alabama, and the Democrats were heavy favorites in California, but it was tight in Wisconsin. You could also find prop bet options on all manner of weird and wonderful markets. There were Trump impeachment odds, and betting options on which Candidate would drop out first.

Nowadays you can bet on whether or not Joe Biden will be impeached, what year Kamala Harris will become President and whether Biden will complete his first term.

Election Prop Betting brought a little fun to what was an intense Election Season and will likely continue to be a big part of any Election campaign going forward.

Trump: +150 Biden-200

Trump: +150 Biden -180

Trump: +172 Biden -204

House and Senate Winner Odds

Control of the US House of Representatives and the US Senate became a huge part of the 2020 US Election season and will provide huge US Election Betting opportunities in less than two years. In 2020, Republicans actually picked up seats in the House but shockingly lost their long-established control of the Senate thanks to two defeats in ruby-red Georgia.

Elections have consequences and 2020’s were that Republicans’ loyalty to Donald Trump cost them control of all three branches of Government, giving Joe Biden and the Democrats a virtual rubber-stamp for any policy they want to pass.

For the Best odds on the presidential Election Visit 5Dimes.

Where to Bet on Politics

If you want to bet on politics, you need to find a trustworthy, reputable betting site that will pay you any winnings promptly. SBR has reviewed more than 1,000 sportsbooks, allowing us to identify the very best in the business. Check out our list of top sportsbooks to browse the list of sports betting sites that have secured an A+ or A rating. You can wager at any of those sites with confidence. Most offer political betting, and that trend of growing opportunities will only increase thanks to the insanity that we have seen the last 8+ years.

The online sportsbooks cited on this page are all great options. They are well-known betting sites, trustworthy and renowned for paying out on time. They offer a range of compelling sports betting and political betting markets, and some attractive odds and bonuses too.

Presidential Election Betting Tips

It helps to pay attention to what is happening in the world when betting on Elections. Donald Trump appeared to be on a path to victory at this time last year with the economy raging and everything seemingly on the upswing in the US. Political scientists have long pointed to the effects of economic performance upon major votes in countries across the globe. A failing economy is often disastrous for the incumbent.

Social unrest and COVID-19 completely changed the economic trajectory of the country and ultimately brought Donald Trump down thanks to his unwillingness or inability to deal with either. It wasn’t his bombast, his lies, or his divisive personality, it was outside factors that made him just one of 11 one-term Presidents.

That said, it seems as though political loyalties are baked into some people’s minds in the US, giving credence to the notion that it doesn’t matter to some what is going on in their country – “once a Republican, always a Republican”. If it were the case of outside forces being the sole determinant of an Election outcome, Mr. Trump would have been absolutely destroyed in November.

You should also never fear backing the underdog. Donald Trump was the underdog right up until the end in 2016 and won. In 2020 he was a huge dog and almost pulled it off.

The outsider often wins and you see headlines screaming that the bookmakers got it wrong. Yet bookmakers are not trying to predict the result of the vote. They are not pollsters. They are simply trying to make money. They will offer the most compelling odds on each candidate that they can muster, based on the volume of bets previously received on each man. Look at policies, ratings and the general mood of the country before looking at the odds. Do not be afraid of prop betting options either. Some are ridiculous, but others can be potential gold mines if you do your research.

Alternative Politics Betting Markets

You can bet on political developments taking place in a wide range of countries this year. There are key elections taking place in New Zealand, Poland, Serbia, Belize, Bolivia, Croatia, and many other countries. Sportsbooks are offering lines on the next country to leave the EU, the next country to hold a referendum on leaving the bloc, the next CDU leader in Germany, the year of the next Spanish general election, the next Pope, North and South Korea unifying as a single sovereign state, and much more. Some of these bets are designed for entertainment purposes, but you can make healthy profits if you successfully predict the outcome of political events in many countries.

Is Betting on Politics Legal?

Political betting is perfectly legal. Several US state laws now permit sports betting, and they make provisions for accepting wagers on politics and entertainment too. Betting on politics has been a prominent pursuit in Europe for hundreds of years, and it continues to grow in popularity in America. If you like betting, politics can be your savior amid the lack of sporting action currently on offer. Just make sure you find a safe, reliable sports betting site with a healthy political wagering section, and get involved in the action.

“There is no way Donald Trump is winning the election.”

How many times did you say that or hear someone say that in 2016? Surely no one in their right mind thought that Hillary Clinton could lose the Presidential Election to this guy, right? Well, there were a lot of people who truly thought this underdog could win, and if they were smart, they would have searched out a place to make a wager on that exact outcome.

Did you know that there is a significant amount of money being wagered around the world on politics? Throughout twenty years in the online gambling business, this area of betting has gone from a few sites willing to take action on anything to sites having full sections focused on political betting. On this page, we are going to lay out all the types of political bets you can make, as well as show you the best sites for finding the political bet you are looking for.

Where Is the Best Place to Make a Political Bet?

There are a couple things to look for when it comes to political betting online. First off, you want to visit several sites to find the best odds on what it is that you are looking to make a bet on. We have compiled a list of some of our recommended sites for political betting above.

One factor to take into consideration is the location of the site offering the odds. It is more likely that a site based in the UK will have a better handle on British politics, and as a result may have more options when it comes to betting on the outcomes of elections in that country.

Another potential decision-making concept for political gamblers is what types of elections a site offers odds upon. If you relate this to traditional sports betting, you can find some sites that allow you to bet on minor league or division sports as opposed to the major leagues. For the purposes of political betting, this could mean finding a site that is taking action on the results of a Mayoral election as well as one of more national exposure like Prime Minister. These smaller-scale elections may provide better opportunities to find more generous odds for players.

Why Are People Betting on Politics?

Political Betting Usa

The easy answer to this is that people will bet on anything if given a chance and the right odds. It is hard to say when betting on elections began, but it is likely that it goes back a few hundred years along with most sports gambling. Making a bet on the outcome of a political campaign is no different than making a bet on a boxing match, really. If you break it down, there are two opponents (sometimes more than two, depending on the election) who are trying to win a title. There are favorites and underdogs, and with that come odds of a candidate securing the win.

These days, with all the craziness going on in the world, especially in the United States, more people are turning to gambling on the future outcomes of political campaigns as a way of dealing with the emotions around the events themselves. As you will see a little further down, many online gambling sites are capitalizing on this trend by offering a wide array of bets on the political moves of countries around the world.

What Types of Bets Can Be Made on Politics?

This is where we have seen the most changes in the political betting landscape over the last few years. Online gambling sites are dedicating more time and effort to the sport of politics, and this means that there has been a significant increase in the number of betting options for the public. Let’s look at a few of the most popular types.

Betting Markets Politics

1. Straight Bets

These are the standard bets on which candidate or party will win an election. In some cases, you will be able to bet on a political party winning the next election even if they haven’t chosen a leader yet. For the majority of straight bets, however, you will find odds on each of the election participants, and you will make your selection on who you think will win. If that candidate wins, you get paid!

These types of bets are similar to moneyline bets in sports. You pick a winner and based on their handicapped odds, and you are paid based on the line the site puts up. Again, as some sites may pay more attention to this than others, doing your research is important as you may find significant swings in the odds from site to site. Finding value in these political bets is what can make them a profitable venture.

2. Spread Bets

These types of political bets are not focused on which candidate or party will win the election, but by what margin. This is similar in nature to spread betting on sports. While you know the Golden State Warriors are going to beat the Brooklyn Nets, in an NBA game when you are spread betting you will have to bet that they are going to win by at least certain number of points.

To convert that to betting on elections, let’s look at the 2016 US presidential election. You might have found the following bets available:

Betting Odds Politics

• Clinton -2,000,000 in the general election
• Trump +1,900,000 in the general election
• How many electoral votes will Clinton beat Trump by?
• How many electoral votes will Trump win by?
• How many seats will the Democrats win by?

As you can see, this would allow you to bet on a candidate without having them win the actual election, similarly to an underdog covering the spread. With straight bets, your choice would have to win the election outright. This gives you a different way of betting on the outcome, which appeals more to someone who isn’t entirely sure who the victor will be.

3. Prop Bets

Prop bets have become more and more popular in the sports betting world over the last decade. Rather than requiring an outcome of an event to take place, prop bets allow someone to make a wager on other aspects. This can be applied to the world of politics as well, especially when it comes to some of the leading political countries around the world.

Prop betting, as we mentioned, is not dependent on the outcome of an election. As a matter of fact, there doesn’t even need to be an election to make a prop bet on a political figure. Let’s use the US as an example. Here are some prop bets you could find or may have found in the past about American politics:

• What will be the official weight of the President announced as after his physical?
• How many days will Donald Trump be President?
• What will the age of the Democratic Candidate for President in 2020 be?
• How many times will Trump say a particular word in a State of the Union speech?
• Will the President be impeached?

All of these types of prop bets would come with two options (for example, for the weight bet it could be Under 240.5 and Over 240.5) and in most cases, the odds are the same for either side of the bet (-110). Prop bets are more for entertainment purposes than anything, and what could need entertainment added to it more than politics these days, right?!

Can You Be a “Sharp” Political Bettor?

Of course you can! As we mentioned, one of the easiest ways to give yourself an advantage when it comes to political betting is to shop around. You will most likely find slightly different odds on a particular bet from book to book. As there won’t be the same type of volume of bets on elections as on sporting events, the lines have to move so sites can protect themselves.

Another thing to look for is the betting limit on any individual political wager. If you are sure of an outcome, then you want to find a site that has high limits for these types of bets. In most cases, you will find smaller limits for political bets than traditional sports wagers, as the sites don’t have a team of political experts on staff. A sharp bettor will find the highest limit to go along with the best price before putting any money down.

Now, when it comes to being a sharp bettor from an information standpoint, well, that’s a different concept altogether. There are thousands of journalists that would likely consider themselves to be “experts” on the topic of politics, but how many of them would have picked a Trump victory in the 2016 US presidential election?

We would say that being an insider definitely helps – maybe you know a Senator or someone who works in a Mayor’s office. That type of inside information can definitely make a difference when it comes to finding the diamonds in the rough. In that way, it is very similar to horse racing, as many times someone working in the stables will come across the inside scoop on a particular horse.

Conclusion

There is no doubt that the appetite for gambling on politics has grown over the years. These days, you can find any number of sites offering odds on all kinds of elections across the globe. However, to make political gambling a profitable venture, you should be doing your research not just on the candidates and campaigns, but on the sites offering these bets. A little bit of time spent searching out the best odds can make the difference in how much you can win when you are ready to make your bet, and isn’t that what it is all about?